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Insurance as a credit risk

Kent Kirby
January 29, 2026
0 min read

A 'gray rhino' for financial institution lenders?  

The changing nature of insurance companies' investment portfolios poses emerging credit risk that financial institution lenders should understand and monitor.

Insurance: Managing and posing credit risk

For lenders, insurance is one of those necessities we secure upfront and rarely think about—until a crisis hits. Most seasoned bankers have experienced the sinking feeling of seeing a collateral property on the news engulfed in flames or destroyed in a natural disaster, followed by a too-quick drive to the office to confirm that the insurance policy is active and lists us as loss payee.

The fear of loss that’s behind that scramble is one reason why insurance has always mattered in credit. But there’s a quieter, potentially more dangerous insurance-related risk emerging, and it may catch the banking industry unprepared.

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Insurers’ investments: An emerging risk to credit

At its core, insurance is a simple business: collect premiums, invest the funds, and pay claims. Three key risk points in this business model are well known to financial institutions:

  1. Affordability: Rising premiums strain cash flow for small businesses or tenants that have borrowed from a financial institution. The strain can force these borrowers to choose between paying bills or maintaining insurance coverage on the collateral securing a loan.
  2. Coverage gaps: Higher deductibles or new exclusions can make it difficult for insureds to return property to operational status after a loss, leaving repayment at risk.
  3. Dropped policies: Some insureds or insurers may cancel coverage entirely, the latter even across entire states or regions, posing risk to lenders with insured collateral.

Growing private market investments among insurers

A fourth credit risk related to insurance, however, is a “gray rhino,” the kind of problem that’s right in front of you, but you don’t see it). It’s the changing nature of insurance companies’ investment portfolios.

Like financial institutions, insurers must manage liquidity to meet claims. Unlike banks and credit unions, insurance companies have far more latitude in their investment choices. Increasingly, they’re reaching for yield through private credit and private equity, either directly or via funds.

Private credit investments account for more than 35% of total U.S. insurers’ investments, according to a Nov. 14, 2025, Financial Times article. In addition, private equity investors own 139 insurers as of mid-2025, according to the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) Capital Markets Bureau. These investments account for 7.8% of insurers’ total assets in the U.S. While still small, the number is growing.

Riskier, illiquid positions

The contrast with the investment approach of traditional financial institutions is stark. Banks and credit unions have a fiduciary duty to depositors, prioritizing liquidity and stability. Private equity and credit funds, by contrast, prioritize yield, accepting illiquidity and higher risk of investing in nontraditional or alternative assets to achieve investment returns. As these investment strategies permeate insurers’ portfolios, they import vulnerabilities foreign to the conservative world of regulated finance.

The problem intensifies during economic downturns, when illiquid positions become even harder to unwind.

In addition, the recent bankruptcies of Tricolor and First Brands highlight the consequences—potential fraud aside—of weak oversight. Unlike banks and credit unions, private investors often lack the robust monitoring systems designed to prevent such failures.

In short:

  1. Private credit and private equity are risky investments.
  2. They now represent a significant portion of insurers’ portfolios.
  3. Private equity ownership of insurers is rising and could reshape both operations and risk management.

This evolving insurance landscape demands attention from credit risk professionals.

Insurance risk-concentration management planning

As with any concentration in your portfolio, financial institutions need a plan to deal with insurers and related risks to credit. Such a plan could include the following elements:

1. Assess exposure to insurers

Start by understanding your aggregate exposure to various insurers. The data exists; it’s just not always tracked. Begin with your largest relationships and work down the portfolio. Over time, aim to capture exposure data through normal credit events (renewals, new loans, reviews). You can’t control which insurers your clients use, but you can measure concentrations and prepare mitigation strategies.

2. Perform credit analysis as if you were underwriting insurers

Next, conduct financial and ownership reviews of your top insurance counterparties. Retrieve financials via company websites or the SEC’s EDGAR database. Examine 13F-HR filings for insights into investment holdings. Your loan review team—or your best credit analyst—should lead this effort to ensure objectivity and rigor. Monitor insurers on an ongoing basis

Check each insurer’s state-level activity through insurance commission websites and monitor the news for post-event changes in pricing or coverage. Track ownership changes closely—these often precede shifts in risk appetite or investment behavior.

Leverage your front-line intelligence: conversations with customers and insurance agents can surface early warning signs. Insurance may not be the most exciting topic, but it’s becoming one of the more critical.

3. Monitor insurers on an ongoing basis

Check each insurer’s state-level activity through insurance commission websites and monitor the news for post-event changes in pricing or coverage. Track ownership changes closely—these often precede shifts in risk appetite or investment behavior.

Leverage your front-line intelligence conversations with customers and insurance agents can surface early warning signs. Insurance may not be the most exciting topic, but it’s becoming one of the more critical.

4. Understand risks in “non-traditional” insurance

Don’t overlook specialized insurance such as crop coverage, where multi-year events (like droughts) can depress future claims due to declining average yields. Build those scenarios into your stress testing.

5. Have a plan of action

If a major insurer in your concentration pool changes terms, withdraws coverage or exhibits adverse changes in financial position, use your data to act proactively. Reach out to affected customers with potential alternatives rather than waiting for a crisis. Doing so builds trust—and resilience.

Insurance: No “get it and forget it” checkbox for lenders

Insurance cannot be a “get it and forget it” checkbox. It’s an integral component of credit risk management. Understanding your exposure—both macro and micro—can make the difference between a contained issue and a systemic problem.

Now’s the time to start asking the uncomfortable questions before the gray rhino charges.

 

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About the Author

Kent Kirby

Senior Consultant, Portfolio Risk
Kent Kirby is a retired banker with over 39 years of experience in all aspects of commercial banking: lending, loan review, back-room operations, credit administration, portfolio management and analytics and credit policy.  As Senior Consultant in the Portfolio Risk practice, Kirby assists institutions in the review and enhancement of commercial

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